Equity Valuation: Thirty Years Later

Equity Valuation: More than Thirty Years Later

Estimating the Equity Premium

To estimate the equity premium, it is helpful to use finance theory: not the old-fashioned theory that efficient markets imply a constant equity premium, but theory that restricts the time-series behavior of valuation ratios, and that links the cross-section of stock prices to the level of the equity premium. Under plausible conditions, valuation ratios such as the dividend-price ratio should n...

Estimating the Equity Premium

To estimate the equity premium, it is helpful to use finance theory: not the old-fashioned theory that efficient markets imply a constant equity premium, but theory that restricts the time-series behavior of valuation ratios, and that links the cross-section of stock prices to the level of the equity premium. Under plausible conditions, valuation ratios such as the dividend-price ratio should n...

Tax Changes and Asset Pricing

The tax burden on equity securities has varied substantially since US federal income taxes were introduced in 1913. Taxes on equity securities vary over time due to changes in dividend and capital gains tax rates and due to changes in corporate payout policies. Equity taxes also vary across firms due to persistent differences in propensities to pay dividends. Despite the continuing policy debat...

Simulation-based valuation of project finance - Does model complexity really matter?

This paper analyzes the impact of model complexity on the net present value distribution and the expected default probability of equity investments in project finance. Model complexity is analyzed along two dimensions: simulation complexity and forecast complexity. We aim to identify model elements which are crucial for the valuation of project finance in practice. First, we present a simulatio...